Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.003376 0.003542 0.003712 0.003898 0.004098 0.004305 0.004537
2025-03-16 0.003068 0.003313 0.003574 0.003873 0.004206 0.004569 0.004994
2025-03-23 0.002846 0.003132 0.003445 0.003814 0.004239 0.004716 0.005295
2025-03-30 0.002678 0.002992 0.003343 0.003765 0.004263 0.004837 0.005555
2025-04-06 0.002569 0.002908 0.003293 0.003766 0.004336 0.005009 0.005873
2025-04-13 0.002406 0.002751 0.003148 0.003643 0.004251 0.004981 0.005938
2025-04-20 0.002330 0.002692 0.003113 0.003647 0.004315 0.005132 0.006229
2025-04-27 0.002290 0.002671 0.003121 0.003702 0.004440 0.005362 0.006628
2025-05-04 0.002208 0.002595 0.003060 0.003665 0.004445 0.005437 0.006824
2025-05-11 0.002139 0.002534 0.003012 0.003641 0.004465 0.005529 0.007045
2025-05-18 0.002075 0.002475 0.002964 0.003615 0.004479 0.005610 0.007252
2025-05-25 0.002050 0.002464 0.002975 0.003664 0.004592 0.005828 0.007658
2025-06-01 0.001999 0.002418 0.002940 0.003653 0.004625 0.005940 0.007921
2025-06-08 0.001944 0.002366 0.002897 0.003629 0.004638 0.006022 0.008146
2025-06-15 0.001881 0.002301 0.002834 0.003575 0.004608 0.006042 0.008276
2025-06-22 0.001825 0.002244 0.002779 0.003530 0.004586 0.006072 0.008421
2025-06-29 0.001790 0.002214 0.002759 0.003531 0.004630 0.006196 0.008715
2025-07-06 0.001714 0.002126 0.002659 0.003418 0.004506 0.006070 0.008610
2025-07-13 0.001685 0.002101 0.002643 0.003422 0.004551 0.006193 0.008907
2025-07-20 0.001675 0.002101 0.002660 0.003472 0.004663 0.006423 0.009387
2025-07-27 0.001635 0.002059 0.002619 0.003438 0.004650 0.006459 0.009549
2025-08-03 0.001601 0.002025 0.002588 0.003417 0.004654 0.006523 0.009760
2025-08-10 0.001568 0.001991 0.002555 0.003393 0.004654 0.006577 0.009956